The Shifting Landscape of Black Voters and Its Impact on the 2024 Presidential Election (for latest polls see below throughout the article)
In the ever-evolving political landscape of the United States, the role of Black voters has come under scrutiny as their influence on the upcoming 2024 presidential election becomes increasingly significant. Recent polls have shown a surprising shift, with former President Donald Trump gaining support from 22% of Black voters in key battleground states, a notable departure from previous elections.
While President Joe Biden secured a remarkable 92% of Black support in the 2020 election, a September Yahoo News/YouGov poll indicates that only 66% of Black voters would choose him if the 2024 election were held at that moment. However, the recent November 7th election results suggest that Black voters continue to play a crucial role in supporting Democratic candidates and issues. Continued below this Tim Pool Vid
Black voters played a pivotal role in advancing abortion rights in the Ohio state constitution and flipping the Virginia House to Democratic control. In a recent Kentucky election, they rejected a Black Republican candidate for governor, showcasing their enduring electoral strength. Nevertheless, questions have arisen regarding their support for President Biden.
Mark Fisher, a former senior director for a Black Lives Matter branch, has publicly expressed his support for Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election. Fisher’s stance reflects a growing sentiment among Black voters who feel disillusioned by the Democratic Party. He cites the “duplicity” and “hypocrisy” of the Democrats as reasons for his shift in allegiance, emphasizing that Black voters deserve genuine support. Continued below this next poll…
Trafalgar Polling is considered the most accurate pollster. New @trafalgar_group National #GOP presidential #poll (11/30-12/02) 53.5% @realDonaldTrump 16.7% @rondesantis 16.2% @NikkiHaley 6.3% @ChrisChristie 4.3% @VivekGRamaswamy 0.9% @AsaHutchinson 0.4% @DougBurgum 1.8% Undecided – Trafalgar
Fisher believes that Donald Trump has made substantial contributions to the Black community, a sentiment he shares with a growing number of Black Americans. He contends that misinformation has clouded Trump’s achievements, and it is crucial to educate the public about his accomplishments.
Recent polling has indicated a decline in support for President Biden among Black and Hispanic voters since the 2020 election. The New York Times/Siena College poll discovered that the president’s support among nonwhite voters had dropped by 33 points compared to 2020 results. Notably, only 72% of Black voters and 47% of Hispanic voters now support Biden, with his performance declining further in states with greater ethnic diversity.
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This decline in support among minority voters can be attributed to economic concerns. Many Black and Hispanic voters are skeptical about whether a second term for Biden would improve their financial situations. Some even believe that their finances would fare better under the leadership of Donald Trump.
While Biden’s overall favorability ratings among Black voters have shifted from 84% in early 2021 to 74% in March 2023, it remains stronger than his ratings among white voters. Nonetheless, these fluctuations are not to be taken lightly, as they signal the importance of addressing concerns within the Democratic base.
Former President Donald Trump is continuing his poll lead against President Joe Biden, coming out eight points ahead in a four-way match-up including independent candidates Robert F. Kennedy and Dr. Cornel West, according to a new poll. – Newsmax
The historical significance of the Black vote in Democratic politics cannot be overstated. No Republican has garnered a higher percentage of Black voters than Richard Nixon in the 1972 election, with 18%. Conversely, no Democratic nominee has succeeded without substantial Black support since 1992. Black voters are undeniably a linchpin for Democratic candidates aiming to secure the nomination and the White House. Continued below the following poll
TIPP Poll: Biden’s approval rating has fallen to the lowest level since he took office. Approve: 33% [-6] Disapprove: 55% [+3] Independents Approve: 21% [-3] Disapprove: 64% [+4] TIPP Insights
While Biden is currently enjoying substantial support among Black voters, the general election in 2024 presents unique challenges. The 2016 election saw Hillary Clinton secure 88% of the Black vote, indicating that Black voters were somewhat ambivalent about her candidacy compared to the re-election of Barack Obama in 2012, where he secured 93% of their vote. In 2020, Biden carried 87% of the Black vote, even when voters had the choice of another term for Trump.
Looking ahead to the 2024 election, it is evident that Biden’s support among Black and Hispanic voters is wavering. These shifts underscore the need for the Democratic Party to address the concerns of minority voters, particularly regarding their economic well-being. As the political landscape evolves, understanding and addressing the concerns of Black voters will be pivotal for both parties in the upcoming election.
Susan Parlino, Freelance writer for Whatfinger News
Look how desperate the Deep State and Fox News are to beat Trump…
Almost every other poll shows Trump beating Biden and all other GOP presidential candidates losing to Biden. Somehow, Fox Polling shows Nikki Haley beating Biden by 10 points. Fox is so desperate to stop Trump. That’s why Hannity is hosting the Newsom vs DeSantis debate. – Charles R Downs
Almost every other poll shows Trump beating Biden and all other GOP presidential candidates losing to Biden. Somehow, Fox Polling shows Nikki Haley beating Biden by 10 points. Fox is so desperate to stop Trump. That’s why Hannity is hosting the Newsom vs DeSantis debate. pic.twitter.com/HBCXpxF4MC
— Charles R Downs (@TheCharlesDowns) November 28, 2023
Comments – Threads – Links
- Trump Maintains Strong Lead Over Rivals in Iowa Caucus Poll – DC Patriot
- Trump has a double digit lead in every single Republican poll. Why isn’t the entire GOP rallying around him? It’s because they hate Trump more than they love America. It’s time for a new GOP! – Travis
- Another new poll showing Trump doubling his lead with other indepedent candidates on the ballot. Without RFK and Cornell West, it’s Trump 46-42 over Biden. But in a four candidate race, Trump earned 41%, Biden 33%, Kennedy 13%, and West 2%. – Joe Concha – linking to The Messenger
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